You contacting PHC-ers et al. (cont.)
From This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends:
“‘It’s like having cyber nukes in an unregulated market that can be bought and sold anywhere in the world without discretion,’ he told me.”
“[C]ompared to conventional weapons, exploits were cheap. . . . The Middle East’s oil-rich monarchies would pay just about anything to monitor their critics [my emphasis].”
“But bugs and exploits took time to find and develop, and Sabien came to the same conclusions as Watters’s team at iDefense. His twenty-five-man team could scour for bugs and develop and test exploits nine-to-five, but it would be far easier to outsource that work to the thousands of hackers around the world who spent their days and nights glued to their computer screens.
‘We knew we couldn’t find them all, but we also knew there was a low barrier to entry,’ Sabien recalled. ‘Anyone with two thousand dollars to buy a Dell is in the game.’
And so the underground market for zero-day bugs began.”
“Foreign governments were now willing to match American prices for the best zero-days and cyberweaponry. . . . And in Iran and North Korea, which could never match the United States in conventional warfare, leaders saw cyber as their last hope of leveling the playing field. If the NSOs, Zerodiums, and Hacking Teams of the world wouldn’t sell them their wares, well, they could just hop on a plane to Buenos Aires.”
“For years, I’d heard some of the best exploits on the market hailed from Argentina.
. . . ‘You need to dispose of your view, Nicole,’ Arce told me. ‘In Argentina, who is good? Who is bad? The last time I checked, the country that bombed another country into oblivion wasn’t China or Iran.’
In the Southern Hemisphere, the whole moral calculus was flipped. Down here, the Iranians were allies. We were sponsors of state terrorism.
. . . ‘A guy from the NSA and a guy from Iran show up with big bags of cash. Do you perform an ethical analysis? Or do you weigh the bags of cash and see which is heavier?’”
From above:
From The Outlaw Bank (my emphases):
From interviews with sources close to BCCI, Time has pieced together a portrait of a clandestine division of the bank called the Black Network, which functions as a global intelligence operation . . . [T]he 1,500-employee Black Network has used sophisticated spy equipment and techniques . . .
And even if I succeeded in contacting PHC, (some) PHC-ers might:
have found my threat-analysis unconvincing*
resist my threat-analysis (in part) because they’re not as courageous as Dr. Dean**
Re: #1: If many people leverage said Web form to provide “social proof”*** (e.g., leverage via, again, copying-and-pasting from the Addendum below) . . .
Re: #2: If many people copy the tweet in the Addendum and tweet it to @drcharitydean . . .
* From The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine, the 2010 best-seller**** by Michael Lewis about the inflating of the U.S. housing bubble that burst in 2008:
“A smaller number of people—more than ten, fewer than twenty—made a straightforward bet against the entire multi-trillion-dollar subprime mortgage market [i.e., said people shorted said market] and, by extension, the global financial system. In and of itself it was a remarkable fact: The catastrophe was foreseeable, yet only a handful noticed.”
“Lippmann soon found that the people he most expected to see the ugly truth of the subprime mortgage market—the people who ran funds that specialized in mortgage-bond trading—were the ones least likely to see [my emphasis] anything but what they had been seeing for years. Here was a strange but true fact: The closer you were to the market, the harder it was to perceive its folly.”
** From The Premonition:
Charity was less interested in World War II than in the events leading up to it. The book had sat on her bedside table for the past eighteen months. She remained fixated on the run-up to the agreement made by Chamberlain with Hitler in Munich on September 30, 1938. To avoid war with Germany, Chamberlain had caved to Hitler’s demand for a chunk of what was then Czechoslovakia. He’d then returned home to a temporarily grateful British public and, to a cheering crowd, had delivered remarks in which he said that Great Britain had achieved “peace with honour.” Churchill had issued his own statement in response, to less fanfare. “You were given the choice between war and dishonour,” he said. “You chose dishonour and you will have war.” Churchill had no data, either. But he was able to see the threat Hitler presented when others did not, because he was not blinded by a desire for peace [my emphasis].
*** From 2021 book Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion, by Robert Cialdini:
To discover why popularity is so effective, we need to understand the nature of yet another potent lever of influence: the principle of social proof. This principle states that we determine what is correct by finding out what other people think is correct.
**** #12 on Amazon’s 2010 list of bestsellers, #98 in 2011; 2015 movie The Big Short (based on the book) grossed $133 million.
Re: you contacting PHC and/or acting on my FFO (i.e., and/or sharing this write-up with at least one person who isn’t a PHC-er)
And/or precludes:
Recipients of this write-up: 1) attempt to contact PHC, 2) don’t act on the FFO.
Said attempts are thwarted by hackers, or the attempts succeed but PHC-ers’ lack of courage . . .
Awareness of the write-up ceases to grow (i.e., social networks cease to be leveraged).
Of course, people who want to profit from the FFO don’t want to route this write-up toward Dr. Charity Dean . . .
Re: if possible, you should route this write-up to(ward) people who are: 1) wealthy, 2) unlikely to have profited (much) from the de facto legalization of HF in the U.S.
Details below (e.g., tips re: how to route the write-up).
Re: leveraging social networks was the key to experts gaining control of America’s Covid response
From The Premonition:
The only way to get attention for this new tool for disease control, Glass decided, was to write it up in a paper for an academic journal. The scientists at Sandia National Labs worked under the highest security clearance in the federal government, called “Q clearance,” and were prohibited from revealing their work without first seeking approval. The work was his kid’s science fair project, but he was now taking it as seriously as anything he did at Sandia. So he explained the situation to his superiors and wrote up a long paper, which, at length, they allowed him to publish. He sent it to Science and Nature and to other, more obscure journals of medical science. “Every one of them just returned it to me unread because I wasn’t known in their field,” he said. “So then I got really worried.” When asked about himself, which he seldom was, as he spent so much of his time alone in thought, Bob Glass described himself as “an extreme introvert.” It violated his nature to reach out personally to people in the field of communicable disease and seek their help. But he did it anyway. He found the names of professional epidemiologists who claimed to be using computer models to study disease spread and sent them his paper, along with a note. “They wouldn’t even return my emails,” he said. “They just didn’t respond. So then I got pissed. I had this fear: a pandemic will occur, and no one would do anything right. I thought I was dead. I thought we were all dead. Then I remembered the guy at the VA.”
A year and a half earlier, Laura had gone to Washington, DC, to visit her aunt. Over dinner one night, she told her aunt’s boyfriend, an infectious-disease specialist who worked for the Department of Veterans Affairs, about her science fair project. “You should write that up and publish it,” he said with enthusiasm. He said he’d never heard of anything like it. When she returned home, she told her father about the dinner. “I thought, ‘Jeez, this is going to take a lot of work,’” he’d said, but he agreed to turn the science fair project into a serious academic paper on disease control, authored jointly. The VA guy had already had one big effect on their work, Bob Glass thought; maybe he could have another. It troubled him deeply to use his sister’s boyfriend to get attention for a scientific discovery, but he didn’t know anyone else in the federal government in Washington, DC. “You just don’t do this in science,” Glass said. “But I said, I’m going to do something someone my age never does. I’m going to go around the system. I write him an email and attach the paper and ask: ‘Do you know anyone who needs to see this?’”
At that point, he’d spent the better part of six months trying to get the attention of experts in disease control. Inside of six hours, he had a call from Richard Hatchett. “He said, ‘We’re in the White House,’” recalled Bob Glass. “‘When can you come and talk to us?’”
. . .
He and Richard and others had spent years creating and selling the ideas that would, if quickly seized upon, prevent a lot of Americans from dying. Those ideas were useful, and yet no one in authority seemed willing to use them. “We were going nuts,” said Carter. Each of the Wolverines went into their contact lists to look for what Carter called “high-value nodes.” People they knew who might influence American policy. . . .
The goal was to find at least one state to take the lead and roll out an aggressive response to the virus, introduce the social interventions outlined in the pandemic plan, and create a domino effect. “We had to create an epidemic for an idea,” said Carter. At some point Duane Caneva realized that he had something to add. . . . In his two years inside Trump’s Department of Homeland Security, Duane had had various dealings, many acrimonious, with various public officials in states that shared a border with Mexico. One struck him as just the type to grab hold of an entire state and turn it into an example that might lead the nation. “Just got off the phone with Dr. Charity Dean,” Duane wrote . . .
Re: penalties for not sharing this write-up with at least one person who isn’t a PHC-er
— Summary (details follow) —
Again, the penalties would become-legal-and-be-enforced via EWPs being delegated to MPS.
EWPs-to-MPS seems (very) likely, in part because:
Again, there are several parallels/similarities between me and a historical figure.
Adding a parallel strengthens the simcom case.
EWPs-to-MPS would add a parallel that STRENGTHENS . . .
Re: said penalties and others would become-legal-and-be-enforced (PsL&E):
Some/many people might perceive PsL&E as another parallel of said kind.
So, again, the imposition of penalties would be beyond my control.
Said historical figure
Nine of said parallels/similarities
— #1 —
From history-based novel Joseph and His Brothers*, by Nobel laureate Thomas Mann:
[Joseph:] “Literature is a great thing. But greater still, to be sure, is when the life one lives is a story—and that we are in a story together, a most excellent one at that, I am more and more convinced with time.”
* published in four parts (1933-1943)
— #2 —
I’m Jewish. (My maternal great-grandparents immigrated to the U.S. from Poland in the early 1900s.)
From 1995 book The Jewish Religion: A Companion, published by Oxford University Press:
From the point of view of the tradition, the Joseph episode is seen as part of the divine plan . . .
— #3 —
Joseph interpreted a dream, then partnered with his country’s political leader to provide the benefits of the interpretation.
Similarly, the American dream of a land of opportunity . . . updated for the age of AI, CE, crowd-investment, PsIMP . . . my ongoing attempt to partner via said FFO . . .
— #4 —
KWs: encounter between foresight and evil.
From Joseph and His Brothers:
Joseph’s grand hoarding of grain and his countless cone-shaped storehouses had appeared to them [i.e., Egyptians] in a magical light. But what seemed truly magical to them was the encounter between foresight and evil here . . .
— #5 —
Joseph enriched his country’s leader, and improved the economic well-being of almost all people.
From Nobel laureate economist Paul Romer’s entry on Economic Growth in the 2008 edition of The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics:
[T]he country that takes the lead in the twenty-first century will be the one that implements an innovation that more effectively supports the production of new ideas in the private sector [e.g., AI-produced ideas].
From 2006 book Knowledge and the Wealth of Nations:
This book tells the story of a single technical paper in economics [Romer (1990): Endogenous Technical Change] . . .
. . . Romer won a race of sorts, a race within the community of university-based research economists to make sense of the process of globalization at the end of the twentieth century and to say something practical and new about how to encourage economic development . . .
From 2004 book The Mystery of Economic Growth, by a Harvard economist (my emphases):
Interest in growth theory abruptly revived . . . in the 1980s. The two key papers were by Romer (1986) and Lucas (1988). . . . Romer also initiated the second wave of research on the “new” growth theory.
. . . A more detailed study of the U.S. economy is provided by [Stanford economist Charles] Jones (2002). He found that between 1950 and 1993 improvements in educational attainments, which amounted to an increase of four years of schooling on average, explain about 30 percent of growth of output per hour. The remaining 70 percent is attributable to the rise in the stock of ideas that was produced in the United States, France, West Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
From said entry of Romer’s on Economic Growth:
Perhaps the most important ideas of all are meta-ideas—ideas about how to support the production and transmission of other ideas. . . . North Americans invented the modern research university . . .
From 2014 book SuperIntelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies, by the originator of the simulation argument:
— #6 —
KWs: advancing longevity science.
From Joseph and His Brothers:
The name that Joseph received along with his titles was a name of life. It meant “The god”—Atôn, one did not have to name the name—“speaks: ‘May life be with you!’” Even that was not yet its complete meaning. Every ear that heard it in those days took this to signify not only “May you yourself live,” but also “May you be a bringer of life, may you spread life and provide life’s nourishment to the many.”
From 2020 book The Future Is Faster Than You Think: How Converging Technologies Are Transforming Business, Industries, and Our Lives:
[Google’s] Ray Kurzweil and longevity expert Aubrey de Grey have begun talking about “longevity escape velocity,” or the idea that soon, science will be able to extend our lives by a year for every year we live. In other words, once across this threshold, we’ll literally be staying one step ahead of death. Kurzweil thinks this threshold is about twelve years away, while de Grey puts it thirty years out.
From 2019 book Lifespan: Why We Age―and Why We Don't Have To, by the Harvard geneticist who’s one of Time magazine’s “100 most influential people” of 2014:
“It is not at all extravagant to expect that someday living to 150 will be standard. And if the Information Theory of Aging is sound, there may be no upward limit; we could potentially reset the epigenome in perpetuity.”
“How long will it be before we are able to reset our epigenome, either with molecules we ingest or by genetically modifying our bodies, as my student now does in mice? How long until we can destroy senescent cells, either by drugs or outright vaccination? How long until we can replace parts of organs, grow entire ones in genetically altered farm animals, or create them in a 3D printer? A couple of decades, perhaps. Maybe three. One or all of those innovations is coming well within the ever-increasing lifespans of most of us, though. And when that happens, how many more years will we get? The maximum potential could be centuries . . .”
“If I am wrong, it might be that I was too conservative in my predictions.”
“When technologies go exponential, even experts can be blindsided.”
“We often fail to acknowledge that knowledge is multiplicative and technologies are synergistic.”
Title of a 2020 article on CNBC.com:
The ultra-rich are investing in companies trying to reverse aging. Is it going to work?
From cbinsights.com:
From 2020 book Longevity Industry 1.0 (my emphases):
“AI for Longevity is the ‘smart money’ sector of the industry, and can achieve enormous results and accelerated timelines in terms of progress in actual, tangible, real-world Healthy Human Longevity, even with comparatively tiny levels of financing compared to other sectors.”
“The intensive application of AI to all stages of Longevity and Preventive Medicine R&D has the potential to rapidly accelerate the clinical translation of both validated and experimental diagnostics, prognostics and therapeutics, to empower patients to become the CEOs of their own health through continuous AI-driven monitoring of minor fluctuations in biomarkers . . .”
“AI will come into prominence as the critical and fundamental driver of progress in the industry . . .”
From November 30, 2020 on Google News:
— #7 —
KW: flow*.
From an entry on the blog of The Jewish Theological Seminary:
[O]f all the characters in the Torah—the Rabbis attributed to Joseph the appellation, “ha-Tzadik” (the righteous). No other character in all of the Tanakh is given this attribute by the Rabbis.
From the Wikipedia entry re: Tzadiks:
Since the late 17th century, in Hasidic Judaism, the institution of the mystical tzadik as a divine channel assumed central importance . . . [Tzadiks] embody and channel the Divine flow . . .
From The Jewish Religion: A Companion** (my emphases):
The prayer of the Zaddik for his followers to be blessed with “children, life and sustenance” is found in many a Hasidic text. The basis in the Talmud is saying (Moed Katan 28a): “Life, children and sustenance depend not on merit but on mazal.” . . . Hasidim, treating the word mazal as if it came from a root meaning to flow, use the Talmudic passage for the doctrine of tzaddikim. Even if a man does not deserve to have good health, sustenance and children on his own merits, he may be given them as a result of the special “flow” of divine blessing through the “channel” that is the tzaddik.
* For much more re: flow science and its centrality to MPS, see my lengthier write-ups linked-to above. Book/magazine excerpts from the write-ups:
From 2021 book The Art of the Impossible: A Peak Performance Primer:
Flow may be the biggest neurochemical cocktail of all. The state appears to blend all six of the brain’s major pleasure chemicals and may be one of the few times you get all six at once.
. . . What we can say for sure: all of these neurochemicals help explain why flow tends to show up when the impossible becomes possible. The reason? It’s because of how these neurochemicals impact all three sides of the high-performance triangle: motivation, learning, and creativity.
On the motivation side, all six of these chemicals are reward drugs, making flow one of the most rewarding experiences we can have. This is why researchers call the state “the source code of intrinsic motivation” and why McKinsey discovered that productivity is amplified 500 percent in flow—that’s the power of addictive, pleasure chemistry [my emphasis].
From 2014 book The Rise of Superman: Decoding the Science of Ultimate Human Performance:
“[T]here are extraordinarily powerful social bonding neurochemicals at the heart of both flow and group flow: dopamine and norepinephrine, that underpin romantic love . . .”
“In jazz, the group has the ideas, not the individual musicians . . . When performance peaks in groups . . . this isn’t just about individuals in flow—it’s the group entering the state together . . .”
From 1997 book Organizing Genius: The Secrets of Creative Collaboration, by eminent scholar Warren Bennis:
Great Groups are sexy places.
. . . [During Apple’s early years, Steve Jobs mandated that] employees share [hotel] rooms when they were at conventions and other professional meetings . . . to limit bed-hopping . . .
From the 2017 article in Wired titled “The Ins and Outs of Silicon Valley’s New Sexual Revolution”:
In Silicon Valley, love’s many splendors often take the form of, well, many lovers.
. . . Some workplaces (coughGooglecough) have quasi-official poly clubs . . .
From 2017 book Stealing Fire: How Silicon Valley, the Navy SEALs, and Maverick Scientists Are Revolutionizing the Way We Live and Work:
[W]e crossed the country for a trip to the Googleplex. We were there to talk flow states with engineers . . .
[W]e . . . attend[ed] the opening of their new multimillion-dollar mindfulness center. . . . Google had realized that when it comes to the highly competitive tech marketplace, helping engineers get into the zone and stay there longer was an essential . . .
We’ve been collaborating with some of the top experience designers, biohackers, and performance specialists to help develop the Flow Dojo . . . a learning lab dedicated to mapping the core building blocks of optimum performance.
In the fall of 2015 we had the opportunity to bring a prototype of the Dojo to Google’s Silicon Valley headquarters and engage in a joint-learning project. For six weeks, a handpicked team of engineers, developers, and managers committed to a flow training program, and then capped that off with two weeks in a beta version of the training center.
From the chapter titled “Group Flow” in 2017 book Group Genius: The Creative Power of Collaboration:
Patagonia was an early adopter, but soon after, Toyota, Ericsson and Microsoft made flow integral to their culture and strategy.
** The above excerpt from TJR is online.
— #8 —
KWs: mistreatment by relatives.
From the Wikipedia entry about Joseph:
Joseph’s half-brothers . . . plotted to kill him, with the exception of Reuben . . . Upon imprisoning Joseph, the brothers saw a camel caravan carrying spices and perfumes to Egypt, and sold Joseph to these merchants [i.e., sold him into slavery].
Sets of relatives of mine (Rs) have stolen ~$350K from me (in 2021 dollars), twice making my financial situation precarious and inflicting COSTLY delays to my career/AI-preneurial progress. Among the Rs: deceased aunt Helen Freedman and her daughter Judy; respectively, a past executive director (ED) of Americans for a Safe Israel (AFSI) and a present co-ED. Re: AFSI, via a 2009 article:
“Kahane.org, which is listed on the U.S. Treasury Department’s list of terrorist organizations.
In terms of ideology and fundraising, ‘there’s a pretty thin line between the Americans for a Safe Israel [my emphasis] and the Kahanists,’ said University of Pennsylvania political scientist Ian Lustick, one of the few scholars who has studied Jewish extremist groups in depth.”
“Last week’s terrorist killing of four Israeli Arabs has cast light on a network of ties linking . . . American Jewish groups [e.g., AFSI] to an extremist fringe in Israel that nurtured the Jewish gunman.”
My aunt in 2009: ED of AFSI.
From a 2002 article in The Los Angeles Times:
In 1994, AFSI’s West Coast head proclaimed Dr. Baruch Goldstein a hero and a Jewish martyr for having gunned down 29 Arabs at prayer in a West Bank mosque . . .
My aunt began working at AFSI in 1995.
Speaker at a 2015 AFSI event: Meir Jolovitz. Re: Jolovitz, via a 2019 article:
Meir Jolovitz, the national director of the [Kahanist] JDL in NY, “declared war on the enemies of the Jews” at a press conference with gun-toting, black-bereted members of the JDL. “When criminal justice is hand-cuffed,” he said, “we have to turn to Jewish justice.”
From the Wikipedia entry re: the JDL:
The Jewish Defense League (JDL) is a Jewish far-right religious-political organization . . . It was classified as “a right-wing terrorist group” by the FBI in 2001 and is considered a radical organization by the Southern Poverty Law Center [2][3]. According to the FBI, the JDL has been involved in plotting and executing acts of terrorism within the United States [2][4].
. . . According to the Anti-Defamation League, the JDL consists only of “thugs and hooligans” [13].
From a 2009 article:
A New York City rabbi condemned the call to assassinate Palestinian leaders issued at his synagogue.
He added the sponsoring organization, Americans for a Safe Israel [my emphasis], is no longer welcome to host events at his synagogue.
. . . Nadia Matar, the co-chairwoman of Women in Green, called for Israel to assassinate “all terrorist leaders, starting with Mahmoud Abbas [then the President of the Palestinian National Authority]” . . . Her remarks were greeted with applause.
From a 2017 issue of an AFSI newsletter:
[T]he group arrived in Hebron to celebrate Hebron Day there with original “settlers.” Yehudit Katzover, co-leader of Women in Green and spearhead of the Sovereignty Conferences, was there with WIG co-leader Nadia Matar [my emphasis]. . . . The AFSI group heard their amazing stories about the efforts to reclaim Hebron after the 1967 victories.
— #9 —
Joseph focused on business as a means of serving his values/God.
From Joseph and His Brothers:
“[Joseph to his brothers: ‘Y]our brother is no divine hero, no messenger of spiritual salvation, but merely a man of business . . .’”
“Joseph regarded it as his duty to encourage such plans and to assist God in their prosecution as best he knew how.”
Martin Luther King Jr.: “The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice.”
From The Goodness Paradox: The Strange Relationship Between Virtue and Violence in Human Evolution:
[T]here is no reason to regard our domestication as complete. How much more domesticated we could become . . . is an open question. Given sufficient sanctions against reactive aggressors . . . humans could in theory become as hard to rile as lop-eared rabbits at a petting farm, which remain gentle even when stroked repeatedly by dozens of eager children.
From https://thebiggestshort.substack.com/p/chapter-1-continued:
Re: the for-free in orgies-for- . . .
— Summary (details follow) —
Order for free is a proposed law of nature, hypothesized at book length in 1993 by a MacArthur Fellow (i.e., a “genius grant” recipient). Believers in the hypothesis include Nobel-Prize winners.
One type of order—complexity [1]—results from “networks of adaptive agents” (e.g., networks of people):
being subjected to selection-pressures that are new and/or are intensifying rapidly
adapting to these pressures
Adaptation that yields/increases complexity occurs at the boundary between order and chaos (i.e., in complex adaptive systems, agents are clustered at and around said boundary).
This clustering takes shape “for free” via “self-organized criticality” [2].
All told, complexity-for-free is shorthand for ‘complexity via adaptation via clustering-for-free’ [3].
Orgies-for-free (O-F-F) is a variant of clustering-for-free that will (continue to) enable people to adapt to selection-pressures of said kinds.
[1] From a 2013 article on ScientificAmerican.com:
[Stephen] Hawking was asked what he thought of the common opinion that the twentieth century was that of biology and the twenty-first century would be that of physics. Hawking replied that in his opinion the twenty-first century would be the “century of complexity” [my emphasis].
Title of a 2005 book published by Harvard Business School Press:
Origin of Wealth: Evolution, Complexity, and the Radical Remaking of Economics
Title of a 2014 book published by Oxford University Press:
Complexity and the Economy
[2] From 1996 book How Nature Works: The Science of Self-Organized Criticality:
The system had become “critical”! There were avalanches of all sizes just as there were clusters [my emphasis] of all sizes at the “critical” point for equilibrium phase transitions.
[3] From How Nature Works:
Self-organized criticality is so far the only known general mechanism to generate complexity.
— Re: order-for-free —
From 1995 book At Home in the Universe: The Search for the Laws of Self-Organization and Complexity, by said MacArthur Fellow (my emphases):
[T]here are compelling reasons to believe that whenever a collection of chemicals contains enough different kinds of molecules, a metabolism will crystallize from the broth. If this argument is correct, metabolic networks need not be built one component at a time; they can spring full-grown from a primordial soup. Order for free, I call it.
. . . I believe that this order for free, which has undergirded the origin of life itself, has also undergirded the order in organisms as they have evolved and has even undergirded the very capacity to evolve itself.
— Re: complexity —
From a white paper (.pdf) published by the Washington Center for Complexity & Public Policy:
Complexity science represents a growing body of interdisciplinary knowledge about the structure, behavior and dynamics of change in a specific category of complex systems known as complex adaptive systems—open evolutionary systems in which the components are strongly interrelated, self-organizing and dynamic. Rain forests, businesses, societies, our immune systems, the World Wide Web, and the rapidly globalizing world economy can be thought of as complex adaptive systems. Each of these systems evolves in relationship to the larger environment in which it operates. To survive, the system as a whole must adapt to change.
For a lengthier preview, see the Wikipedia entry titled “Complex Adaptive System”.
— More re: complexity is a type of order —
Title of the 1992 book by a MacArthur Fellow (a colleague of said Fellow):
Hidden Order: How Adaptation Builds Complexity
— Re: complexity via networks of adaptive agents —
From 2012 book Signals and Boundaries: Building Blocks for Complex Adaptive Systems, published by MIT Press:
— Re: a network of adaptive agents (e.g., people) clustered at the boundary between order and chaos —
From the 2008 book by the MacArthur Fellow who hypothesized order-for-free:
I can now summarize over forty years of work on random Boolean networks . . .
Briefly, these networks exhibit three regimes of behavior: ordered, chaotic, and critical, i.e., poised at the boundary or edge between order and chaos.
— Re: adaptation at said boundary —
Title of a 1992 book:
Complexity: The Emerging Science at the Edge of Order and Chaos
From said 2008 book:
[T]he most complex, but organized, behavior should occur in critical networks. In the more ordered networks the behavior would be more “frozen” and less complex.
— Re: said clustering of agents takes shape “for free” via “self-organized criticality” —
From How Nature Works: The Science of Self-Organized Criticality:
[C]omplex behavior in nature reflects the tendency of large systems with many components to evolve into a poised, “critical” state . . . The evolution to this very delicate state occurs without design from any outside agent. The state is established solely because of the dynamical interactions among individual elements of the system: the critical state is self-organized.
Re: O-F-F would be women-FRIENDLY almost certainly
— Summary (details below) —
The link between professional success and polyamory is unlikely to favor a particular gender.
A key to popularizing Adver-ties [i.e., MPS’s LinkedIn variant] is facilitating the build-out of complements.
OSG’s [i.e., MPS’s] facilitating will center on advancing “hyper-specialization,” for reasons explained by complexity science (i.e., this facilitating will center on speeding the complexification of the business ecosystem that centers on Adver-ties).
Some/many of the hyper-specialists in said ecosystem can be expected to make flowmantic orgies women-FRIENDLY (i.e., can be expected to compete to make said orgies increasingly civilized, artful, etc.). This can be expected in LARGE part because:
Amazon of CE . . . via popularizing Adver-ties . . .
Women are ~60% of recent college grads in many countries (e.g., the U.S.).
Women can invest B-B-BILLION$ via crowd-investing (e.g., via equity- crowdfunding).
So Amazon of CE via making Adver-ties POPULAR with women . . .
OSG could employ/REWARD specialists who make flowmantic orgies women-FRIENDLY (e.g., employ via raising equity-crowdfunding from MANY women).
— Re: the link between professional success and polyamory is unlikely to favor a particular gender —
From Untrue: Why Nearly Everything We Believe About Women, Lust, and Infidelity Is Wrong and How the New Science Can Set Us Free:
[A] 2017 study shows that among women aged twenty-five to twenty-nine, group sex and threesome experience equaled that of men the same age, and women were nearly twice as likely to have gone to a dungeon, BDSM, swingers’, or sex party.
Untrue’s author is a woman who has a PhD from Yale and a background in anthropology.
From 2013 book What Do Women Want?: Adventures in the Science of Female Desire:
[R]ecent science and women’s voices left me with pointed lessons:
That women’s desire—its inherent range and innate power—is an underestimated and constrained force, even in our times . . .
[T]his force is not, for the most part, sparked or sustained by emotional intimacy and safety . . .
[O]ne of our most comforting assumptions, . . . that female eros is much better made for monogamy than the male libido, is scarcely more than a fairy tale.
What’s author is a contributing writer for The New York Times Magazine and the author of five books of nonfiction.
From a 2012 book:
The most patient and thorough research about the hook-up culture shows that over the long run, women benefit greatly from living in a world where they can have sexual adventure without commitment . . . and where they can enter into temporary relationships that don’t derail their careers.
To put it crudely, now feminist progress is largely dependent on hook-up culture. To a surprising degree, it is women—not men—who are perpetuating the culture . . .
The book’s author is Hanna Rosin, then a national correspondent for The Atlantic.
From What Do Women Want?:
Terri Fisher, a psychologist at Ohio State University . . . asked two hundred female and male undergraduates to complete a questionnaire dealing with masturbation and the use of porn. The subjects were split into groups and wrote their answers under three different conditions: either they were instructed to hand the finished questionnaire to a fellow college student, who waited just beyond an open door and was able to watch the subjects work; or they were given explicit assurances that their answers would be kept anonymous; or they were hooked up to a fake polygraph machine, with bogus electrodes taped to their hands, forearms, and necks.
The male replies were about the same under each of the three conditions, but for the females the circumstances were crucial. Many of the women in the first group—the ones who could well have worried that another student would see their answers—said they’d never masturbated, never checked out anything X-rated. The women who were told they would have strict confidentiality answered yes a lot more. And the women who thought they were wired to a lie detector replied almost identically to the men.
. . . When Fisher employed the same three conditions and asked women how many sexual partners they’d had, subjects in the first group gave answers 70 percent lower than women wearing the phony electrodes. Diligently, she ran this part of the experiment a second time, with three hundred new participants. The women who thought they were being polygraphed not only reported more partners than the rest of the female subjects, they also . . . gave numbers a good deal higher than the men.
From 2011 book Chick Lit and Postfeminism, published by the University of Virginia Press:
“The overwhelming popularity of chick lit . . . can be traced to the social reality of its readership with regard to work . . . [Via chick lit’s] attempts at synthesis of work and love it shows the challenges of straddling both realms.”
“One of chick lit’s contributions as a genre is the production of what we might call a sexual theory of late capitalism . . .”
“The high number of sexual partners the chick lit protagonist experiences parallels the romance’s pattern of the questing hero’s confronting false or impostor versions of his eventual beloved.”
“Though an offshoot of popular romance, chick lit transforms it significantly, virtually jettisoning the figure of the heterosexual [male] hero . . .
Men are not really valued as individuals as much as means to a lifestyle . . .
Even texts that end with marital happiness present a predominantly depressing take on marriage.
. . . Chick lit heroines’ preoccupation with money . . . is normative with recent real-life social science findings: researchers . . . have found that the worst fear for single women . . . is having no money.”
— Re: hyper-specialization —
From a 2011 article in Harvard Business Review:
Much of the prosperity our world now enjoys comes from the productivity gains of dividing work into ever smaller tasks performed by ever more specialized workers. Today, thanks to the rise of knowledge work and communications technology, this subdivision of labor has advanced to a point where the next difference in degree will constitute a difference in kind. We are entering an era of hyper-specialization . . .
. . . [W]e will now see knowledge-worker jobs—salesperson, secretary, engineer—atomize into complex networks of people [my emphasis] all over the world performing highly specialized tasks . . .
— Re: Adver-ties can be expected to advance hyper-specialization —
Activity in a market generates new kinds of knowledge. This knowledge typically increases specialization.
From 2017 book Machine, Platform, Crowd: Harnessing Our Digital Future, co-authored by MIT economist Erik Brynjolfsson:
The Magic of Markets, the Purest Crowds of All
Large collections of information like libraries and the web are obviously valuable because we can consult and learn from them. Many crowd-created collections have another benefit: as they accumulate the contributions of many people, they spontaneously generate new kinds of knowledge. This is a kind of magic that actually happens, all the time.
From 2014 book Complexity: A Very Short Introduction:
Niche formation through co-evolution
. . . When we look at realistic niches, whether they be market niches . . . we see a complicated recirculation of resources and signals [e.g., price signals] . . .
How did this complex network of interactions evolve?
The short answer is co-evolution through recombination of building blocks . . . Cascades of increasingly specialized agents result [my emphasis]. As is nicely described by Samuelson in his classic text Economics, there is a multiplier effect in cascades . . . The multiplier effect in a typical cascade may be 4 (or more), indicating that the initial payment has the effect of four separate injections of cash . . .
The multiplier effect that accompanies the re-use of resources in a cascade typically drives the occupants of a niche to increasing specialization.
From Machine, Platform, Crowd (my emphases):
The first person to clearly point out this benefit [i.e., new knowledge via activity in markets], and thus to become a kind of patron saint of the crowd, was the Austrian economist Friedrich Hayek in his 1945 article “The Uses of Knowledge in Society.”
. . . Hayek’s paper, which anticipated many of the ideas of what would coalesce into complexity theory later in the twentieth century . . .
— Precedent re: specialists who’d make O-F-F women-FRIENDLY —
Cover of a 2007 book:
— End of excerpt from thebiggestshort.substack.com —
Re: Adver-ties, via https://thebiggestshort.substack.com/p/chapter-1:
OSG’s 1.0 implementation of the site/app will feature:
a market for the advertisement spaces on solo-blogger blogs (e.g., portfolio blogs) [1]
a virtual currency (cash transactions will be supported also)
Prices in OSG’s virtual currency (OVC) will contain/reflect only truthful peer ratings of work samples. Ratings of this kind are a top predictor of work performance, according to a much-cited meta-analysis of 85 years of personnel-selection research (5670 citations as of October 16, 2020) [2]. Other top predictors of work performance are often unavailable (e.g., test results). So OVC prices will be ideal for ranking people within individual job/skill categories. These rankings will make it much easier for Jane Q. Upwardly-Mobile to identify others who (can) best complement her (ditto for John Q.).
[1] An ad space sold for OVC will typically be on the homepage (i.e., front page) of the seller’s blog; key reasons: 1) sales of spaces for OVC will occur via weekly auctions, 2) per week, each blogger will be able to sell only one ad space for OVC (which space is sold can vary weekly). Keywords re: said auctions: sealed-bid, second-price; combinatorial auctions via fractional allocations, so each week’s auction will provide a “spot” market and an “up-front” market; traders will make these markets “information-efficient.”
[2] From 2015 book Work Rules!: Insights from Inside Google That Will Transform How You Live and Lead, by Google’s then head of “People Operations”:
. . .
From the Schmidt-Hunter paper linked-to above:
. . .
Re: Adver-ties will be a debugged version of BlogShares.com
From a 2003 article on rediff.com:
The latest sensation that’s grabbing the attention of netizens is BlogShares . . . an online stock market in which you get to speculate on the future of your favourite blogs. . . . Every player gets 500 BlogShare dollars upon signup.
. . . How you play BlogShares depends on what you want from it. For some, the objective is to get their blogs on the Top 100 Index.
. . . At the end of a three-week phase of beta testing, there were a staggering 40,000 listed blogs. Over 5000 active players carry out thousands of transactions every day . . .
Re: the fatal flaw of BlogShares
The price mechanism was easily gamed. From the rediff.com article:
[Inbound] links are the assets that drive valuations.
Re: bloggers will be able to parlay a high and/or fast-rising ad rate in OVC into cash via: 1) sales of other ad spaces, 2) affiliate-marketing commissions, 3) subscriptions
Keywords: influencer marketing (IM), antidote to the epidemic of IM fraud. Some details follow; more below.
Izea: 71% of influencers had a blog in 2018; 39% of advertisers sponsored blog posts in 2018; 67% of social-media users in 2020 aspire to be paid social-media influencers.
Mediakix: 44% of advertisers consider blogs to be among the social-media channels that are most important for IM in 2020 (Facebook: 45%; Twitter: 33%; LinkedIn: 19%); 50% of advertisers consider fraud the #1 drawback of IM in 2020.
Re: a high and/or fast-rising ad rate in OVC will be achievable partly via OSG’s prediction markets (OPMs)
High prices/rankings in OPMs will serve as PageRank-like pointers to high-quality blogs. Details are in a section below. Keywords: OPM prices denominated in OVC.
From 2018 book Prediction Machines: The Simple Economics of Artificial Intelligence, published by Harvard Business School Press:
AI is a prediction technology . . .
. . . What will new AI technologies make so cheap? Prediction.
. . . When prediction is cheap, there will be more prediction and more complements to prediction [my emphasis].
. . .
More precedents for Adver-ties
Google’s PageRank search algorithm (first use of hyperlinks to inform search results)
peer assessments associated with popular MOOCs (massively open online courses)
LinkExchange.com
GitHub.com
PageRank 1.0 was based on insights from social-network analysis that were decades old when PageRank was conceived. (Similarly, LinkedIn et al. could’ve productized said 85-years-of-personnel-selection-research long ago.)
From a 1998 paper co-authored by Google’s founders:
There has been a great deal of work on academic-citation analysis [Gar[19]95]. Goffman [Gof71] . . .
Number of search engines launched before Google: 20.
From 2013 paper “Tuned Models of Peer Assessment in MOOCs,” co-authored by several employees of MOOC provider Coursera ($443M raised):
Peer assessment—which has been historically used for logistical, pedagogical, metacognitive, and affective benefits . . .—offers a promising solution that can scale the grading of complex assignments in courses with tens or even hundreds of thousands of students.
From the 1998 article in The Wall Street Journal titled “Microsoft Buys LinkExchange For About $250 Million in Stock”:
LinkExchange . . . places ad banners on about 400,000 Web sites, though many of those sites are obscure personal homepages [e.g., blogs] . . .
LinkExchange, founded in 1996, has taken a unique approach that has allowed it to grow its network of sites very quickly. The company allows member Web sites to advertise for free on other sites throughout the LinkExchange network—provided they agree to return the favor.
From a 2016 article on the website of Harvard Business Review (my emphases):
How can companies get a better idea of which skills employees and job candidates have? . . . One potential model is GitHub.
. . . Ideally, this [desired variant of GitHub] would also be a social network and e-portfolio, allowing an employer to see samples of work and trust that the skills presented had been validated by others. (The social component of GitHub is important to underscore because other developers validate and consume another developer’s work. This contrasts starkly with the “skills”— if we can call them that—that users can tag so quickly on LinkedIn, such as “higher education” or even “ninja.”)
More re: the business case for Adver-ties
LinkedIn was acquired by Microsoft for $26.2 billion in 2016.
Title of a 2018 article on TechRepublic.com:
Why Linkedin + GitHub profiles could be the hidden gem in $7.5B Microsoft acquisition [of GitHub]
Re: popularizing Adver-ties will be foundational for popularizing OSG’s market for CE & AI
Outputs from activity at and around Adver-ties (e.g., prices) will be inputs to OSG’s prediction markets (PMs). After Adver-ties catalyzes the popularization of OSG’s “1.0” PMs, outputs from activity at and around the PMs (e.g., 2.0 PMs) will be inputs to Adver-ties (i.e., the popularization of Adver-ties and the PMs will become mutually reinforcing). Both sets of said outputs will be inputs to OSG’s market for CE/AI (e.g., the outputs will help/enable consumers of CE/AI to feel confident that they’re receiving value for their expenditures).
— Precedent for said dependencies between markets —
financial-capital markets (e.g., prices output by an equities market are inputs to an equity-derivatives market)
— Re: outputs from Adver-ties being inputs to OSG’s CE/AI market —
From the 2015 article in The New York Times titled “Finding a Career Track in LinkedIn Profiles”:
[M]uch of what we need to know about the changing labor market is crowdsourced in real time. And many of those digital breadcrumbs end up in LinkedIn profiles.
From a 2015 interview of Michael Horn, co-author of [2008 book] Disrupting Class: How Disruptive Innovation Will Change the Way the World Learns:
[W]e’re really in the early beginnings of the dramatic revolution that we’ve seen in a lot of other technology sectors where really smart recommendation engines come in and assist the student in picking and choosing their unique path. . . .
In order to really go towards adaptive learning, you need huge numbers of students on your platform . . .
We need platforms that can collect the data we need and can make better use of data so that we can figure out different ways to serve different learners.
[Disrupting Class was co-authored by Harvard Business School professor Clayton Christensen, originator of the canonical models of disruptive innovation.
From 2015 book The End of College: Creating the Future of Learning and the University of Everywhere:
“I asked Michael [Staton, a partner in a venture capital firm focused on education and technology] to introduce me to some of the startups that he found most exciting . . .
[Clayton] Christensen was cited ad nauseum by everyone we met.”
“The University of Everywhere will solve the basic problem that has bedeviled universities since they were first invented over a millennium ago: how to provide a personalized, individual education to large numbers of people at a reasonable price.”]
From 2016 book Thank You for Being Late: An Optimist’s Guide to Thriving in the Age of Accelerations:
At the high end of the labor ladder, professionals already have a global intelligent algorithm to draw on: LinkedIn, the career professional social networking site. But its founders now want to extend that intelligent algorithm to the whole world of work by creating a global “economic graph.” Here is how LinkedIn’s CEO, Jeff Weiner, describes it on his company blog:
Reid Hoffman and the other founders of LinkedIn initially created a platform to help people tap the value of their professional networks, and developed an infrastructure that could map those relationships up to three degrees. In doing so, they provided the foundation for what would eventually become the world’s largest professional graph.
Our current long-term vision at LinkedIn is to extend this professional graph into an economic graph by digitally manifesting every economic opportunity [i.e., job] in the world (full-time and temporary); the skills required to obtain those opportunities; the profiles for every company in the world offering those opportunities; the professional profiles for every one of the roughly 3.3 billion people in the global workforce; and subsequently overlay the professional knowledge of those individuals and companies onto the “graph” [so that individual professionals could share their expertise and experience with anyone].
Anyone will be able to access intelligent networks such as LinkedIn’s global graph, see what skills are in demand or available, and even offer up online courses. You might teach knitting or editing or gardening or plumbing or engine repair. So many more people will be incentivized to offer their expertise to others, and the market for it will be vastly expanded.
Added Weiner:
With the existence of an economic graph, we could look at where the jobs are in any given locality, identify the fastest growing jobs in that area, the skills required to obtain those jobs, the skills of the existing aggregate workforce there, and then quantify the size of the gap. Even more importantly, we could then provide a feed of that data to local vocational training facilities, junior colleges, etc., so they could develop a just-in-time curriculum that provides local job seekers the skills they need to obtain the jobs that are and will be, and not just the jobs that once were.
Separately, we could provide current college students the ability to see the career paths of all of their school’s alumni by company, geography, and functional role.
From 2018 book A New U: Faster + Cheaper Alternatives to College, by a VC whose focus is education:
“LinkedIn CEO Jeff Weiner’s vision for an ‘economic graph’ is the clearest expression by any technology company of the competency marketplace future.”
“[T]echnological developments will complete the faster + cheaper revolution. The resulting ‘competency marketplaces’ . . .”
“The historic disconnect between higher education and employer needs is a data problem. . . .
Technology has begun to change this . . . first via the increasing availability of competency data: e-portfolios . . .”
. . .
— Re: OSG’s offerings a/o clones will advance LS —
Summary (details follow)
Many/most advances of LS will derive at least partly from the “garage biotech” ecosystem (i.e., from (very) small biotech firms).
In many cases, these firms (LS-GBFs) will be co-founded by specialists who leverage Adver-ties a/o clones to find each other.
In many/most cases, LS-GBFs will:
post-founding, leverage Adver-ties a/o clones to recruit specialists (e.g., employees, contractors)
use a LOT of AI
Many LS-GBFs will seek equity-crowdfunding (i.e., will want to be showcased in/on SCs).
Many of said specialists will enter their field via CE, not least because OSG will:
race to provide a loan program for CE consumers (i.e., loans that will be variants of today’s “private” student loans)
learn continuously as a means of:
lowering the interest rates of CE loans
providing alternatives to loans (e.g., income-share agreements, livelihood insurance)
improving these alternatives
LS-BigCos will benefit also from OSG’s offerings a/o clones.
Re: garage biotech
From 2011 book Biopunk: Solving Biotech’s Biggest Problems in Kitchens and Garages:
Schloendorn told me his new company had just received a half-million dollar investment . . . To raise money, he needed to show he could create the right conditions for a white blood cell to kill a cancer cell. . . . [Schloendorn says:] “To blow up the first cancer cell—that’s the risk. And so we just went with the minimal equipment needed to blow up a cancer cell. And we could do that at the kitchen table.”
From 2010 book Biology Is Technology: The Promise, Peril and New Business of Engineering Life, published by Harvard University Press:
Biotech . . . technology is changing so rapidly that, within just a few years, the power of today’s elite academic and industrial laboratories will be affordable and available to individuals. . . . It is thus no surprise . . . that garage hacking—that garage innovation—has come to biology.
Re: many/most LS advances (partly) via LS-GBFs
From a 2018 article on CNBC.com:
[P]int-size ventures are driving pharma innovation. The majority of drugs approved in recent years originated at smaller outfits—63 percent of them over the last five years, according to HBM Partners, a health-care investing firm.
Re: LS-GBFs leveraging Adver-ties a/o a clone (part 1 of 2)
From a 2011 article in The Atlantic:
The Rise of Backyard Biotech
Powered by social networking, file sharing, and e-mail, a new cottage industry is bringing niche drugs to market.
. . . FerroKin is seven employees who work from home, and a collection of about 60 vendors and contractors who supply all the disparate pieces of the drug-development process. Rienhoff, a physician and former venture capitalist, founded it in 2007 as a start-up, a virtual biotech company. Since then, his team has picked up talent and resources as needed, raising $27 million and seeing a drug from development into Phase 2 clinical trials.
. . . The small industries and biotech freelancers springing up are, in some ways, like the divisions of the old behemoth drug company, but connected only by the tendrils of the Internet, and the relationships that grow so easily there. Rienhoff is contemporary biotech’s answer to the lost Renaissance man. He pulls the renaissance effect out of the network around him, using . . . the global community to fight the terrible complexity of disease.
Re: LS-GBFs using a LOT of AI
From 2020 book Longevity Industry 1.0 (my emphases):
“AI for Longevity is the ‘smart money’ sector of the industry, and can achieve enormous results and accelerated timelines in terms of progress in actual, tangible, real-world Healthy Human Longevity, even with comparatively tiny levels of financing compared to other sectors.”
. . .
“AI will come into prominence as the critical and fundamental driver of progress in the industry . . .”
From The Future Is Faster Than You Think:
[T]he speed of drug development is accelerating, not only because biotechnology is progressing at an exponential rate, but because artificial intelligence . . .
Re: LS-GBFs leveraging Adver-ties a/o a clone (part 2 of 2)
From Longevity Industry 1.0:
The fourth pillar, the one with the greatest potential to create real-world effects on human Longevity in short time-frames, and the one with the highest ratios of cost to effectiveness, is the application of AI and Data Science to Longevity.
. . . What the fourth pillar needs for this to become reality, however, is intelligent coordination and harmonization of experts and industry stakeholders (AI specialists, longevity scientists and entrepreneurs, investors [my emphasis] . . .) . . .
Re: GBFs wanting to be showcased in/on SCs
From a 2015 article titled “Biotech in the Garage”:
Sites like Experiment offer nontraditional sources of funding for researchers in the early stages. One example of what the future might hold is a project aimed at discovering a new treatment for Ebola, which recently raised $140,000 in crowdfunding. Before launching the $140,000 campaign, they first launched a $5,000 fundraising campaign, which gave them enough capital to prove some assumptions cheaply by running experiments through Science Exchange. Only after getting positive results did they decide to raise more for the next phase. This lean setup—raising a small amount to test assumptions cheaply then repeating the process with increasing amounts of capital—will likely become more common over the next decade. This mirrors what happens now with software but has only recently become possible in biotech because of the trends mentioned above.
Re: LS BigCos will benefit from OSG’s offerings a/o clones
From a 2019 article in Outsourcing Pharma:
The demand for AI technologies and AI talent is growing in the pharma and healthcare industries and driving the formation of a new interdisciplinary field— data-driven drug discovery/healthcare. Acquiring the best AI startups will dominate the biopharma industry [my emphasis].
From 2011 book The New Players in Life Sciences Innovation, published by the Financial Times Press:
Rapid advances in science and its applications, together with changes in market conditions, are forcing a transformation of business models within the life science industries. . . . Perhaps the most obvious change in business models is the gradual demise of the large fully integrated pharma company (FIPCO) and its gradual replacement with the virtually integrated one (VIPCO) . . . based on complex systems of partnerships, both with academia and scientific institutions and with contract research, manufacturing, and sales organizations (CRO, CMO, CSO).
. . . Lilly is quickly transforming itself from a vertically integrated pharmaceutical company into a fully integrated pharmaceutical network that outsources most functions. Merck has chosen to close many of its R&D labs in Europe and relies on a network of collaborative partnerships that include R&D, drug development, and technology licensing.
— End of excerpt from thebiggestshort.substack.com —
Re: EWPs-to-MPS would add a parallel of said kind that STRENGTHENS the simcom case
From Joseph and His Brothers:
“[Pharaoh to Joseph:] ‘I will invest you with the sovereignty and splendor of my throne. . . .’
. . . [T]he conditions that dominated the first crucial ten to fourteen years of his [i.e., Joseph’s] tenure in office—conditions in anticipation of which he had been installed . . . made the man who had predicted it—who had taken precautions and knew how to help people get through it tolerably well—practically the most important figure in the empire and gave to his decrees a life-and-death significance unlike those of any others.”
“‘If I am not mistaken as to the man,’ Joseph continued, ‘—and how could I be, since Pharaoh will choose him [to fill the role that Joseph described[*], then was chosen by Pharaoh to fill]—he will likewise direct his attention beyond the borders of the Two Lands [i.e., Egypt] and see to it that disloyalty is smothered . . .’”
* Another parallel . . .
Re: said parallels might make Ps CONFIDENT that they wouldn’t be denied MLC via being bait-and-switched
CONFIDENT in particular because a parallel would be added/strengthened by MPS not baiting-and-switching . . .
From 2019 book Joseph and the Way of Forgiveness (my emphases):
“JOSEPH AND HIS BROTHERS” is the final section of the Book of Genesis. Tolstoy called it the most beautiful story in the world. It takes its hero through a death and transformation, from the charming but arrogant brat of its first part to the master of reality of its last, and it has an all-embracing forgiveness at its core.
. . . The next thing was to let these terrified men know that he had forgiven them . . . Actually, forgiveness was an inaccurate word for what he was experiencing, since it implies that a magnanimous “I” grants something to a not-necessarily-deserving “you.” It wasn’t like that at all. He wasn’t granting anything or even doing anything. He realized that his brothers were guilty, but he also saw the innocence in that guilt. True forgiveness, he had learned, is the realization that there is nothing to forgive. His brothers simply hadn’t known what they were doing. And given the violence of their emotions, there was nothing else they could have done.
Re: some/many people might perceive PsL&E as another parallel of said kind
Toward preventing/subduing (P/Sing) said global alliance between Ks and Ps (e.g., P/Sing in part via combating global kleptocracy), I’d draft first the children of American HF-profiteers . . .
From Joseph and His Brothers (my emphases):
“[O]ld-fashioned, defiant feudal lords, whose reactionary mode of life was of no benefit to the general welfare and had long been a thorn in the side of the new state.”
“[Joseph:] ‘[T]hey will have to deliver up their sons and daughters to Egypt in payment or as security, and thus will they be bound to Pharaoh’s throne, so that henceforth one can rely on their loyalty.’”
. . . and to fund (part of) said P/Sing I’d “claw back” gain$ from HF.
From Joseph and His Brothers:
“As a statesman, Joseph used this opportunity to coerce these lords to join the times. They were the primary targets of the expropriations [my emphasis] . . .”
From a 2019 article in The Atlantic:
The moment the president declares a “national emergency”—a decision that is entirely within his discretion—more than 100 special provisions become available to him. . . . For instance, the president can, with the flick of his pen, activate laws allowing him to . . . freeze Americans’ bank accounts [my emphasis].
Of course, “primary targets” implies “not the only targets” . . .
Re: you routing this write-up to(ward) people who are wealthy and aren’t HF-profiteers (WnHFers)
Many WnHFers are are well positioned to profit from said FFO.
These WnHFers are doubly likely to act on the FFO, because, as previewed above, they have a LOT to gain from MPS.
So you’re likeliest to profit from the FFO via said routing.
WnHFers who are made aware of this write-up and take no actions (e.g., don’t route to(ward) WnHFers) would be among my secondary targets for expropriations (i.e., for more/MORE funding of said P/Sing).
So WnHFers’ inaction could make you safer, maybe MUCH less expropriated from . . .
Bonus motivation for President Biden to delegate EWPs to MPS
From a 2020 report by the Pew Research Center:
Importantly, Joseph is highly regarded by Muslims and many Christians.
From the Wikipedia entry re: Joseph:
“Joseph (Arabic: يوسُف, Yūsuf) is regarded by Muslims as a prophet (Quran, suras vi. 84, xl. 34), and a whole chapter Yusuf (sura xii.) is devoted to him, the only instance in the Quran in which an entire chapter is devoted to a complete story of a prophet. It is described as the ‘best of stories’.”
“Joseph is mentioned in the New Testament as an example of faith (Hebrews 11:22).
Joseph is commemorated as one of the Holy Forefathers in the Calendar of Saints of the Armenian Apostolic Church on 26 July. In the Eastern Orthodox Church and those Eastern Catholic Churches which follow the Byzantine Rite, he is known as "Joseph the all-comely", a reference not only to his physical appearance, but more importantly to the beauty of his spiritual life. They commemorate him on the Sunday of the Holy Forefathers (two Sundays before Christmas) and on Holy and Great Monday (Monday of Holy Week). In icons, he is sometimes depicted wearing the nemes headdress of an Egyptian vizier. The Lutheran Church–Missouri Synod commemorates him as a patriarch on 31 March.
. . . In addition to honoring him, there was a strong tendency in the patristic period to view his life as a typological precursor to Christ.”
From 2007 book Joseph’s Bones: Understanding the Struggle Between God and Mankind in the Bible, published by an imprint of Penguin Books (now an imprint of Penguin Random House):
The Parallels Between Jesus and Joseph
Many of the elements of connectedness between Jesus and Joseph have long been noted. In his Pensees, Blaise Pascal, the seventeenth-century mathematician and philosopher, called attention to these parallels as part of his “proofs of Jesus Christ.” For Pascal, Jesus was “typified” by Joseph . . .
. . . The key point around which all else turns is that Jesus is a Jew whose Bible is the Hebrew Bible, most centrally the first five books, the Torah. This, of course, includes the story of Joseph. Further, it must be assumed that Jesus himself was aware of all or almost all of the parallels between himself and Joseph. Moreover, Jesus in the story is presented as a Biblical scholar, capable even as a child of astounding the experts.
. . . In considering how the Torah affected Jesus, one could think of him as having modeled himself on Joseph . . .
Another reason that the parallels between Joseph and me fit MPS-in-a-simcom
From Joseph and His Brothers (my emphases):
But what seemed truly magical to them [i.e., Egyptians] was the encounter between foresight and evil here—which is to say, the way in which the Spender of Shade [i.e., Joseph] led evil around by the nose . . . This was unexpectedly good-humored magic that simply made them laugh.
. . . Even far beyond Egypt’s borders, this was the general opinion of Joseph’s administration. It was a source of laughter . . .
Re: more of my personal history (not previewed above) fits MPS-in-a-simcom
Details coming ASAP. Preview:
In 1999 or 2000 I met with Jeff Stilson, then the head writer of The Chris Rock Show on HBO. (The dot-com boom was ongoing, so Jeff’s agent wanted him to look into the Internet.) Jeff and I discussed my design of a simcom that could’ve been implemented using then-current technology (i.e., a simcom that I conceived before the simulation argument was published in 2003). Re: the fit between said design and MPS-in-a-simcom:
My ‘99-‘00 design:
was conceived to complement my forerunner of said next-gen variant of LinkedIn (the variant was designed in ‘02-‘03)
would’ve yielded an online variant of The Apprentice, the TV show that:
debuted in 2004
was the 7th-most-watched show that year
featured Donald Trump from ‘04 to ‘17
MPS’s comedy-vs.-Trump-2024 could include MPS’s implementation of the ‘99-‘00 design.
Coincidental strengthening of the simcom case?
From Google News as I’m finishing this write-up on June 14:
#!! :-)
More re: said FFO
When the ~5 finders are able to connect me with the president, the ~5 and I will sign a legally-binding FFO.
Important: MPS partnering with a U.S. president as previewed above would make MPS a de facto monopolist, so, again, finders of said kind would be able to monetize their equity stakes any time after receipt (e.g., I would borrow money—using my equity stake in MPS as collateral—and purchase each finder’s shares as soon as any/all were for sale).
Tips re: how to route this write-up
A blend of electronic- and offline-communications might achieve an ideal balance of personal safety (e.g., yours, mine) and proof-of-routing.
Specifically:
router and recipient can agree offline (e.g., via phone) on: 1.1) an algorithm the router will use for altering the URL of this write-up, 1.2) a cryptic abbreviation for the algo
the router can transmit the altered URL electronically
the recipient can confirm receipt electronically by transmitting the abbreviation
Example:
Algo for shifting letters of the URL: alternate shifting one and two letters ahead (y -> z; o -> q; u -> v; . . .).
The algo can be abbreviated: 1212.
The abbreviation can be made (more) cryptic by inserting 2 meaningless numbers after each of the 4 meaningful numbers (e.g., 135213152231).
Needless to say, the example shouldn’t be re-used . . . penalties . . .
Re: MPS might never employ anybody who has a martyr complex
Maximizing MPS-ers’ morale might require penalizing people who, re: routing this write-up, leveraged their social network:
only minimally
only slightly more than minimally
. . .
Re: writing-errors above
From 2012 book APE: Author, Publisher, Entrepreneur — How to Publish a Book, co-authored by Guy Kawasaki, a former chief evangelist at Apple:
Every time I turn in the “final” copy of a book [Kawasaki has (co-)authored twelve books], I believe that it’s perfect. In APE’s case, upward of seventy-five people reviewed the manuscript, and [co-author] Shawn [Welch] and I read it until we were sick of it. Take a wild guess at how many errors our copy editor found. The answer is 1,500. [APE is 410 pages.]
Addendum
For said Web form:
Hello PHC-ers,
This threat-analysis seems very likely to do for PHC’s profitability what 2005 book The Great Influenza did for the funding of pandemic planning in 2005 (did according to The Premonition):
https://youinsimulation.substack.com/p/part-1
Excerpt (minus Web links and some formatting of text):
Via my Amazon-/Microsoft-/VC-praised AI-preneurship, IDed threat to many people . . .
Links to the praise
below, along with excerpts; search keywords (KWs): praise for my AI-preneurship
. . .
Threat summary (some details follow; 100+ pages of additional details are linked-to below)
From a University of Pennsylvania criminologist’s 2013 book: ~78 million psychopaths (Ps) are IMPERILED (PsIMP) by advances in molecular genetics (e.g., “indefinite detention” by the year 2034).
From a 2020 article in Nature: “In the past decade, studies of psychopathological genetics have become large enough to draw robust conclusions.”
(Very) likely:
— a growing number of Ps are aware that PsIMP, and are resisting
— Ps’ war chest is large and enlarging rapidly
There are indicators that Ps are leveraging life science (LS) to:
— develop “personalized bioweapons”
— weaponize viruses (e.g., for use after Ps have developed a vaccine, per Pulitzer winner Lawrence Wright’s finding that “the experts all share the concerns I’ve presented—that something like this [i.e., weaponize after vaccine] could happen.”)
Re: said likelihoods/indicators:
__Global kleptocracy is BOOMING.
__Necessity for kleptocrats (Ks): hiring contract killers often.
__Contract killers are Ps in “virtually all” cases (source: 2019 article in The Atlantic).
__So Ks (e.g., non-Ps) need to RESIST PsIMP (e.g., by FUNDING (other) Ps after making them aware that PsIMP).
__Indicator that the alliance of Ks and Ps has reached an advanced stage (e.g., re: weaponizing LS): parallels/similarities between Deutsche Bank and the defunct, wildly violent, politically influential/coercive, worldwide criminal enterprise of the 1980s known as Bank of Credit and Commerce International (BCCI). From a 1992 U.S. Senate report on BCCI:
____[L]argest case of organized crime in history, spanning over . . . 72 nations [during the 1980s] . . . finance terrorism . . . assist the builders of a Pakistani nuclear bomb . . .
__Title of the 2020 book by the finance editor of The New York Times:
____Dark Towers: Deutsche Bank, Donald Trump and an Epic Trail of Destruction
__From a 2011 article in U.K. newspaper The Independent:
____My companion, a senior UK investment banker and I, are discussing the most successful banking types we know and what makes them tick. I argue that they often conform to the characteristics displayed by social psychopaths. To my surprise, my friend agrees.
____He then makes an astonishing confession: “At one major investment bank for which I worked, we used psychometric testing to recruit social psychopaths because their characteristics exactly suited them to senior corporate finance roles.”
. . .
Indicators that said alliance is weaponizing viruses
JE [i.e., Jeffey Epstein] met with top virologist George Church several/many times (e.g., in 2014).
From George Church’s web page on the site for Harvard’s PhD Program in Virology:
__Virology Faculty Member . . .
From a 2019 article on NBCnews.com (my emphases):
__Harvard science professors kept meeting with donor Jeffrey Epstein . . .
__[A]ccording to the online personal calendar [for 2014] of Dr. George Church, a renowned geneticist who holds professorships at Harvard, Harvard Medical School and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology[:]
__. . . On April 22, Epstein met with Church at the Harvard Medical School’s Genetics Department building . . . The two had a phone call the next day. He had lunch with Church on June 21, according to the calendar. . . . On Sept. 12, Epstein and Church had another phone call, which was followed by a teleconference call Oct. 21 between Epstein and Church . . . On Nov. 30, the calendar lists a dinner with multiple attendees: “Dinner w/ Jeff Epstein . . .
From Church’s web page (my emphases):
__Our lab works on AAV therapeutic vectors, including evasion of innate immunity, capsid design via machine learning with large synthetic libraries for multiplex testing of tissue tropism and evasion of cell/humoral immunity. We study variation in human populations to various viruses including rare neutralizing antibodies for HIV. We are interested in near-extinction-scale Elephant and Swine Viruses (EEHV and ASFV). We harness viral and anti-viral mechanisms (e.g. recombinases, CRISPR, deaminases) to develop new editing technologies.
— Re: JE’s trafficking* of underage girls (UGs) might’ve HELPED Ps weaponize LS —
From 2021 book This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race, by a cybersecurity reporter for The New York Times:
__“[H]ackers seized on the coronavirus to take aim at our hospitals, our vaccine labs, and the federal agencies leading the Covid-19 response.”
__“The pandemic is global, but the response has been anything but. Allies and adversaries alike are resorting to cyberespionage to glean whatever they can about each country’s containment, treatments, and response.”
__“[H]ackers were . . . pilfering intellectual property from every major company in the Fortune 500, American research laboratories . . .”
Many top technologists are high-functioning autistics (e.g., have Asperger’s Syndrome).
~30% of male Aspies have “pedophilic sexual fantasies of female children” (source: 2017 article on the website of the U.S. government’s National Center for Biotechnology Information).
So JE’s trafficking might’ve enabled Ps to coerce TOP hackers . . .
* From a 2019 article on TheDailyBeast.com:
__Police say Epstein was sexually abusing girls as young as 13, many of them from poor families and broken homes. And, according to lawsuits filed by victims, Epstein loaned them out to his famous friends.
— End of excerpt for Web form —
Alternatively/additionally, you can send this tweet:
Hello @drcharitydean @ThePubHealthCo. This threat-analysis seems very likely to do for PHC’s profitability what 2005 book The Great Influenza did for the funding of pandemic planning in 2005 (did according to The Premonition).
https://youinsimulation.substack.com/p/part-1
Excerpt: Via my Amazon-/Microsoft-/VC-praised* AI-preneurship, IDed threat to many people . . .
* Links to the praise are below, along with excerpts. Search keywords (KWs): praise for my AI-preneurship.
[with the below screen captures attached to the tweet]